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Obama in trouble if football election rules prove correct

Nov 6th, 2012 | By | Category: Latest News, News, Sport

Losing Gators coach Will Muschamp could mean a win for Mitt Romney.

By James Vernon and Cameron Russell

THE University of Florida’s football team had their national championship hopes dashed on the weekend and some economists say it could be bad news for Obama too.

An article in the Proceedings of National Science says that fans of major sports teams are more likely to vote for a new president in when their teams lose.

Economists Andrew Healy, Neil Malhotra and Cecilia Mo examined results of 68 college football teams between 1968 and 2008.

The report suggests when you are feeling upbeat and happy, you feel more satisfied with the status quo in general.

This is shown to have raised the state vote by as much as 3% in states with major college football programmes.

When football teams surpassed expectations, getting surprise wins over bigger teams, the incumbent vote increased by 2.5%.

The research project also shows the backlash from Florida’s loss would mean that Gator fans vote for change and Mitt Romney.

Ohio and Virginia are two other states pivotal to the election result, who also have major college football teams.

The Ohio State Buckeyes have won all nine of their games this year which is improves Mr Obama’s chances of re-election, if the trend continues.

Virginia has two major colleges, Virginia Tech and West Virginia, and both are having mediocre seasons leaving the vote in the balance.

With 60 electoral votes between the three swing states, these results could be of huge importance to the country as well as the championship.

There was more bad news for Mr Obama as the ‘Redskin Rule’ may also mean he won’t return to office.

The rule means that if the Washington Redskins Football Team wins their last home game before Election Day, the incumbent party will win. If the Redskins lose, they are voted out.

Since the team relocated to Washington D.C in 1937, the rule has proven true 17 out of 18 times, except for 2004 when George W. Bush won despite the Redskins losing.

The Redskins lost 21-13 to the Carolina Panthers, and following the Florida Gators result, these two rules could see Mr Romney in the Oval Office.

IMAGES: Bleecher Report; EPA images.

 

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